Michael Allouche (CMAP, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique et Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

EV-GAN: Simulation of extreme events with ReLU neural networks

vendredi 18 mars 2022, 9h30 - 10h30

Salle du conseil, espace Turing

Feedforward neural networks based on Rectified linear units (ReLU) cannot efficiently approximate quantile functions which are not bounded, especially in the case of heavy-tailed distributions. We thus propose a new parametrization for the generator of a Generative adversarial network (GAN) adapted to this framework, basing on extreme-value theory. We provide an analysis of the uniform error between the extreme quantile and its GAN approximation. It appears that the rate of convergence of the error is mainly driven by the second-order parameter of the data distribution. The above results are illustrated on simulated data and real financial data.