Yichuan Huang

Yichuan Huang

Drift estimation for right-censored diffusion processes: from classical censoring to a copy-based nonparametric approach

Quand

3 avril 2026    
14h00 - 15h00

Salle du Conseil, Espace Turing
45 rue des Saints-Pères, Paris, 75006

Type d’évènement

This talk is concerned with nonparametric drift estimation for right-censored diffusion processes. Unlike the classical ergodic framework, which relies on one long trajectory and invariant-law averaging, I work in a copies-based setting with many i.i.d. trajectories observed on a fixed horizon. This observation scheme is natural in applications where many subjects are monitored for a limited time only.

After recalling the statistical effect of right censoring in classical survival analysis, I explain how the diffusion problem can still be treated within a projection least-squares framework. The key point is that, although the usual uncensored contrast is no longer directly observable, a suitable semimartingale identity makes it possible to construct an observable censored counterpart. This yields an adaptive nonparametric estimator of the drift based on censored trajectories only. I will present the main construction, the main statistical results, and numerical illustrations, and conclude with a brief perspective on the multidimensional case.

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